In validation · not trading live

It trades in silence. It proves everything.

An automated options system built on defined-risk SPX and XSP spreads. It researches, monitors and reports on its own. No strategy gets real money until it passes its tests — and every result is published, including the failures.

STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE 2.88OVERFITTING PROBABILITY 0.12DEFLATED SHARPE RATIO 0.29WALK-FORWARD, UNSEEN DATA PASSSLIPPAGE STRESS PASSPROP-RULE MONTE CARLO PASSTRADES TESTED 1,264FED DAYS SKIPPED
1,264 breakout trades backtested, 2020 – 2025
6 gates before real money
79 automated safety tests
$0 of customer money we ever hold
01 — Method

Defined risk. One rulebook. Zero emotion.

S&P 500 index options (SPX and XSP), US session only. The system sells time on both sides of the market with spreads whose maximum loss is known before entry — exit planned before entry.

  1. i.

    Read the market

    Prices, economic calendar and account status — verified before anything moves.

  2. ii.

    Pick the playbook

    Volatility decides which strategy runs that week. Only one runs at a time.

  3. iii.

    Clear the guard

    An independent risk module can veto any trade. The strategy can’t overrule it.

  4. iv.

    Enter defined

    Every position is a spread with its worst case known before it opens. No naked options.

  5. v.

    Reconcile, report

    Orders and balances checked every minute. Every trade on the record.

02 — Evidence

We publish what fails.

Others show a winning chart. We show the scorecard — six gates drawn from published research. Below is our first strategy, a futures breakout: it did not pass all six, so it never traded real money.

Tested and retired: 5-minute breakout · VWAP mean reversion · late-day momentum · forex & gold trend.

RESEARCH ARCHIVE · 30-MIN BREAKOUT (MICRO NASDAQ FUTURES) · BACKTEST
GATEREQUIREDTODAYSTATUS
Statistical significance t > 3.00 2.88 NOT YET
Overfitting probability < 0.10 0.12 BORDERLINE
Deflated Sharpe ratio > 0.95 0.29 NOT YET
Walk-forward, unseen data OOS/IS ≥ 0.5 ≈ 0.5 PASS
Slippage stress 4 ticks / side holds PASS
Prop-rule Monte Carlo fail rate OK within PASS

Hypothetical results: backtests do not represent actual trading, may under- or over-state the effect of market factors such as liquidity, and are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No account is likely to achieve similar results. Read more.

03 — Safeguards

The account comes first. Always.

If data, calendar or account can’t be verified, it doesn’t trade. It never raises risk to win back a loss.

01

Max loss known first

Each spread’s worst case is checked against a set dollar limit. Over it, the trade is skipped.

02

Daily loss limit

Reached, and the system rests until the next session.

03

Drawdown ceiling

A hard cap on total decline, checked live including open trades.

04

Kill switch

One tap pauses the bot so it opens nothing new.

05

No duplicate orders

Orders are never blindly retried. An unexpected fill stops the bot until it is checked.

06

News-day discipline

Major economic news days are on the calendar. The system adds protection or stands aside.

04 — Ledger

Displayed profit isn’t income. We track the gap.

LIVE LEDGER AWAITING FIRST LIVE TRADE
Simulated P&L—
Account P&L—
Eligible payouts—
Received, net of fees—

EQUITY CURVE BEGINS WITH THE FIRST LIVE TRADE

Follow the build quietly.

One email a month: the scorecard, what passed, what failed, and the real numbers.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. By joining you agree to our Terms and Privacy Policy.